Polls: A coin flip contest in Pennsylvania
Remember when NFL referee Gene Steratore pulled out an index card to determine whether the nose of the football touched the first-down marker?
That may be the most apt description of the presidential race in Pennsylvania today?
Two respected polls from CNN/SSRS and Quinnipiac University unveiled results of their last surveys in the Keystone State on Wednesday and confirmed what we already thought we knew.
It’s too close to call.
In a survey of 819 registered voters in the state, the CNN/SSRS poll, conducted Oct. 23-28, found that the Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump were in a statistical deadlock at 48 percent to 48 percent.
Quinnipiac’s poll was in the field from Oct. 24-28 and its results showed Trump with a 47 percent to 46 percent advantage, but well within the +/-2.1% margin of error.
Looking at the last ten statewide polls among respected firms, Harris has been in front in five surveys, while Trump has topped the results on four occasions. Only one of those ten has given an edge outside the margin of error.
An average of the last five polls favors Harris by less than one percentage point (0.8).
“The gender gap widens with Trump increasing his lead among men, as what remains a very tight race heads into the final stretch,” said Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy.
“A deeply divided country finds common ground. More than half of likely voters say November 5, 2024 will mark an unmatched milestone, the most consequential Election Day they have experienced.”
According to CNN, the vast majority of likely voters have locked in their choices in the Keystone State with only eight percent indicating they have yet to make a choice or are persuadable prior to Election Day.
Steve Ulrich is the managing editor of PoliticsPA.
This article was originally published in PoliticsPA.